November 5, 2021
Suppose that automobiles were marketed like
retirement plans. Then the chassis, engine and tires would
be marketed by different firms, and the buyer would have to
put them together. Yes, this would be absurdly inefficient,
yet that is exactly the case with retirement plans. The
three major components – financial asset management,
annuities and HECM reverse mortgages – are marketed by
different firms which, with few exceptions, do not talk to
each other. The result is absurdly inefficient.
On top of that, the markets for both annuities and
reverse mortgages are extremely inefficient, a result of
their complexity, the lack of sophistication of most buyers,
and the absence of multiple transactions from which buyers
can learn. In both markets, the range of prices on identical
transactions is obscenely large.
The inefficiency of the piecemeal approach doesn’t
much matter to retirees who are wealthy enough not to
bother. But it is critically important to the larger and
growing number whose home equity comprises a large part of
their wealth, and those who are forced to delay retirement
in order to make it financially feasible.
The major benefits of integration to such retirees
are increased spendable funds during the retirement years,
and protection against running out. The benefits stem from
the synergies from integration, and competitive pricing on
annuities and reverse mortgages. To make this happen, I
developed the Retirement Funds Integrator (RFI) with Allan
Redstone. RFI is used in developing the illustrations below.
The Educational Challenge
Developing retirement plans that integrate
financial asset management, deferred annuities and HECM
reverse mortgages, each of which is rife with complexities,
for retirees who are past their intellectual prime, posed a
major educational challenge. To meet it, RFI incorporates a
strategy of “targeted education”, which is consistent with
the best practices developed by the
the U.S.
National Strategy For Financial Literacy 2020, but adds one more
feature.
RFI breaks the educational process involved in the
development of a retirement plan into two phases. Phase 1 is
designed to allow a retiree to design a preliminary
retirement plan using a simple calculator that simplifies
the amount and complexity of the information required. In
this way, the retiree learns what a retirement plan is, how
the components fit together, and what a first approximation
of her financial future looks like.
In phase 2, the retiree in consultation with a
financial advisor who has access to the more powerful
version of RFI, converts the preliminary plan into a final
plan that takes account of additional features and options
that reflect the retiree’s preferences but had been left out
of the preliminary plan. This paper is largely focused on
phase 1, but a transition to phase 2 is described.
Spendable Funds and Protection Against Running
Out
Consider a retiree of 64 who has financial assets
of $500,000 and home equity of $400,000. The RFI approach
integrates asset management, a deferred annuity (10 years in
the examples) and a HECM reverse mortgage credit line. This
is compared to a stand-alone approach based on the 4% rule
that is widely used by financial advisors. The 4% rule
involves draws of 4% of the original asset portfolio amount
increasing by 2 percent a year. To make it comparable to
RFI, we add a HECM tenure payment, which is a fixed monthly
amount. In contrast to the annuity which runs for life, the
tenure payment ends if the borrower moves out of the house.
Chart 1 compares the spendable funds available to
the retiree under the two approaches, assuming a 4% rate of
return on assets. The integrated approach provides more
spendable funds over the retiree’s life, and complete
protection against running out as a result of living too
long. At a 4% rate of return, the 4% rule runs out of assets
at age 98, with only the tenure payment remaining. Higher
rates of return will avoid calamity under the 4% rule but
increase the advantage of the RFI schedule.
Impact of Competition on Spendable Funds
To assure that retirees using RFI were getting the
best competitive prices, we developed networks of both
annuity providers and reverse mortgage lenders. The RFI
system automatically selects the best deal from those
offered, unless the retiree wants to use another provider,
in which case RFI will show the cost of indulging the
preference.
The importance of this is illustrated in Chart 2,
where the top line is calculated at the best terms in both
markets, as it was in Chart 1, and the lower line uses the
worst terms in both markets. But note that even using the
worst terms, RFI beats the 4% rule.
Rescuing the HECM Program
The HECM program could be killed by Congress
because of large deficits in the mortgage insurance reserve
fund that might require a fund infusion from the Treasury.
The causes of the deficits are very clear. The existing
stand-alone model has resulted in an excessively large
proportion of borrowers drawing maximum cash in the first
year, leaving nothing to cushion rising tax and insurance
payments in later years. The integrated model, in contrast,
includes a life annuity in every case, and in most cases the
annuity will rise over time. Foreclosures arising from
failure of borrowers to pay their taxes and insurance in
their later years will drop like a rock.
Transition to Phase 2: Converting the
Preliminary Plan to a Final Plan
- The role of the financial advisor is to
convert the preliminary plan selected by the retiree
into a final plan that takes account of additional
features and options that were not in the preliminary
plan. The following list is illustrative:
- The retiree might want a different future
pattern of draw amounts rather than the 2% a year rule
built into the exhibits. (This particular modification
is illustrated below).
- The retiree might want to see how the plan is
affected by different rates of return on financial
assets.
- The retiree might want to include a death
benefit in the annuity, which would reduce the annuity
amount.
- The retiree might want to create a “set-aside”
for the estate, with or without a provision that would
make it available for an emergency.
- The retiree might want to compare plans with
and without a HECM.
- The retiree might want to see the plan with
draw amounts net of taxes, and/or inclusive of other
income sources that are not otherwise included.
These and other adjustable features of retirement
plans are executed in consultation with RFI-certified
financial advisors who have access to a full function
version of RFI. For example, the retiree who plans to travel
the world for several years before settling down might opt
for a plan that provides increases in spendable funds early
on, followed by smaller draws in later years. In the
opposite case, the retiree could prefer to spend less in the
early years in order to have more later on. These cases,
illustrated in Chart 3, show these cases as modifications of
the retiree’s preliminary plan.
Transition to Phase 2: Partial Retirement
Consider the same retiree but with one difference.
He plans a partial retirement for 6 years during which he
will work part time before taking full retirement. The
purpose of partial retirement is to enhance the amount of
spendable funds that become available when he swings into
full retirement.
Using RFI, one plan that would meet his needs is illustrated
in Chart 4. His financial assets are used to purchase a
deferred annuity with a deferment period of 6 years, so that
annuity payments begin at the onset of full retirement. This
is the purple block of the chart. During the 6-year period
of partial retirement, his spendable funds consist of his
employment income (the blue block) plus withdrawals from his
HECM credit line (the red block). Only a small part of the
credit line is used, however, and when he retires, the
leftover balance of the line is used to purchase a
supplemental immediate annuity, which is the green box.
The RFI plan illustrated provides a modest increase
of spendable funds during the period of partial retirement,
and a larger increase during the period of full retirement.
Of course, every retiree is different and an RFI-crafted
plan should and can be tailored to the circumstances of
each.
Barriers to Integration
Given the substantial benefits of integration, it
is reasonable to ask why it hasn’t already happened? One
major reason has been regulatory over-reach. HUD limits the
ability of reverse mortgage lenders from participating in
ventures with other types of financial institutions, and
they instruct HECM counselors to warn borrowers about the
hazards of annuities. HUD’s concern seems to be that reverse
mortgage lenders and annuity providers would collude to
cheat retirees. While this is a well-justified concern, it
should not apply to RFI transactions, which assure that
retirees enjoy the most competitive terms available in the
markets for both annuities and HECMs.
State insurance agencies, in turn, fear that
annuities funded with reverse mortgages could make the
insurers responsible for depleting the estate values of
annuitants. However, retirees using RFI to include HECMs
make an informed judgment that they want to convert home
equity into spendable funds. The system allows them to
set-aside funds for their estate, if this is what they want,
and to see the implications of any retirement plan for their
estate value. An outright prohibition on use of a reverse
mortgage to fund an annuity should not apply to RFI-based
transactions.
Resistance comes from the private sector as well. Many advisors who manage assets for clients are hostile to annuities, which reduce a retiree’s financial assets on which the advisor’s fees are based. They argue that they can offer better yields than those earned by insurers on funds provided by annuitants. This is likely to be the case most of the time because investment policies of insurers are very conservative. The difference, which they ignore, is that insurers guarantee a specified return, but financial advisors do not.
Payments to an annuitant, furthermore, include a
mortality component, which are the payments not received by
those who have died. Insurers are able to continue payments
to the retiree who lives to 105 because they can stop
payments to those who die at 65. This is what makes
annuities unique, and why they should be a central part of
retirement plans designed for retirees who are not wealthy.